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Bieber re-signs with GuardiansAs we reported last night, president-elect Trump announced he intends to levy a 25% tariff on all imports from Mexico and Canada and an additional 10% tariff on imports from China. Tariffs on Mexico and Canada would remain in place until the flow of “drugs, in particular fentanyl, and all illegal aliens stop,” while tariffs on China would remain in place “until such time as [the drugs that are pouring into our country] stop”. He also stated that on January 20th he would “sign all necessary documents” to implement the tariffs on Mexico and Canada as one of his “many first Executive Orders”. To be sure, Trump has proposed most of this before, in different forms: Overall, the announcement is more reminiscent of the first Trump administration, when such tariffs were announced as a negotiating tactic, rather than the more systematic tariff policies (e.g., the 10-20% “universal baseline tariff”) Trump frequently discussed during the campaign. Some more details: 43% of US goods imports come from Mexico (15.4%), Canada (13.6%), and China (13.9%). At the proposed tariff rates, this would generate slightly less than $300bn (or 1.0% of GDP) in tariff revenue annually , without accounting for dynamic effects, such as changes to import volumes and prices or taxable incomes, and boost the US effective tariff rate by 8.6% (Goldman's rule of thumb is that every 1% increase in the effective tariff rate would raise core PCE prices by 0.1%), while the proposed tariff increases would also boost core PCE prices by 0.9% if implemented. In its commentary on the tariff announcement, Goldman political analyst Alex Phillips writes that while he had assumed tariffs on imports from China will rise early next year, it is more likely Mexico and Canada will avoid across-the-board tariffs. Phillips also notes that if implemented, these are about three times as large as the China and auto tariffs the bank assumes in its baseline economic forecasts but slightly smaller than a 10% universal tariff. In a separate note from Goldman Delta One trader Rich Privorotsky ( available here for pro subs ), he writes that the bigger surprise in the Trump proposal is Canada. To this point, Goldman tried to calibrate the FX impact of tariffs by assessing the importance of US trade for different economies and the complexity of the products they produce: here the Loonie stands out too. Privo also found it curious that China's HSI was actually up for most the session having now eventually back some its gains (now unch) and believes that " if tariffs on China went up only another 10% I think relative to expectations that have been built up this might be taken as a modest positive." Privorotsky also suggests that Trump's announcement is another part of the wall of worry for Europe. Tariffs are known risk (unknown in magnitude) and "it's the waiting that is really the problem." So while it make sense for European stocks to be down in sympathy on the news (especially after some hopefulness that recent cabinet picks might mean a less hawkish approach), he would argue that a 25% tariff on Canada (biggest source of trade is the import of energy) is likely more of a negotiating tactic rather than a likely outcome. Bottom line: while the CAD will lurch lower on this, it will likely find support. Turning to China, Goldman's EM strategist Sun Lu focuses on the silver lining, i.e., "it's priced in", and lays out the following analysis (excerpted from her full note available to pro subs ). Dovish views: FX response: What trades does Lu like? Continue to like owning 1y USDCNH, USDTWD and USDSGD topside, funded by selling short-dated downside. The Goldman strategist prefers to be long USD ahead of actual tariff announcements rather than just headlines. Finally, we go to Goldman EM vol trader trader Sanjiv Nanwani who writes that "the market remains in a holding pattern despite early AM tariff headlines – but as far as China is concerned, the tariffs seem to underwhelm what is already expected, and in any case, the authorities are clearly unwilling to let FX move as evidenced by the ~unchanged USDCNY fix today." The vol market seems to suggest the same – don’t expect spot to do a whole lot before the inauguration. Nanwani found that a little surprising, "as we now have confirmation that Trump is already contemplating tariff policy and is prepared to announce them ahead of his formal inauguration, which the market will surely have to re-price in response to." Nanwani likes owning some cheap 1mth USD calls here, notwithstanding the poor realized performance (suppressed by the fix) over the past 1-2 weeks. Further out, the market remains very keen on holding onto term premium, keeping calendars uber steep but creating a very high bar for the delivery of realized performance – there is a real risk that the premium decay on some option structures will more than offset expected gains from delta. He therefore likes vol-selling strategies in 3mth+ expiries, particularly via USD bull seagulls, to benefit from both the inverted forward curve and steep vol curve. ATM run: 1m 4.6 3m 6.1 6m 6.6 1y 6.9. It's not just Goldman however: in a note to clients ( available to pro subs ), SouthBay Research this morning reminds us that while attention is focused on China, it really should be on Vietnam; here's why: Here is the timeline to consider: Next, and especially for all the inflation alarmists, it is worth noting that there was minimal inflationary impact in the last trade war: In this context, the real question - according to Southbay - is why doesn't Trump also Tariff Vietnam? Consider this: in 2023, registered Chinese investment in Vietnam was $8.3B. Thanks to offshoring production by Chinese manufacturers, Vietnam has become a player in the global supply chain. This is a response to Trump initiated tariffs whereby OEMs like Apple want to de-risk their exposure to China. Despite proclamations of de-risking and 'internationalizing the supply chain', these moves don't really change the reality that products and components are still sourced from Chinese producers. Given that it's obviously a shell-game, why isn't Trump lumping Vietnam into the anti-China trade tariffs? Here, geopolitics is the most likely reason. There is a containment policy in place. While it's nice to talk about democracy, the major reason for US support of Taiwan is power projection: Taiwan sits at the underbelly of China. With South Korea and Japan to the East, and Taiwan and the Philippines to the South, the US and allies have China surrounded. In case war breaks out with China, a naval blockade would be very effective and complete. Or almost complete, as Vietnam would seal the deal. Turning Vietnam into a friendly ally would plug a big hole in the shipping routes out of Hong Kong. Ships would have to thread a path between Vietnam, the Philippines and Taiwan. In other words, it's not just negotiation, but more like foreplay... and at the moment there is a courtship underway. China is throwing billions of dollars at Vietnam. The US not so much. But Vietnam is wary of China and might want an American military presence. Trump belligerence towards Vietnam would not create necessary goodwill. Which also means that as long as Trump plays softball with Vietnam, China will continue to bypass most if not all of the tariff threat. More in the full note from Southbay available to pro subs .

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'Absolutely crucial': Alberta plans to open new addiction recovery centre for youth in Edmonton remand centreCLEVLEAND — Shane Bieber's comeback with Cleveland has double meaning. The former Cy Young winner re-signed with the Guardians on Wednesday, a reunion that seemed unlikely when he became a free agent. However, the 29-year-old Bieber decided to stay with the AL Central champions after making just two starts in 2024 before undergoing Tommy John surgery. Bieber agreed last week to a one-year, $14 million contract. The deal includes a $16 million player option for 2026. It seemed like a long shot that Bieber, who is 62-32 with a 3.22 ERA in 132 starts, would return to Cleveland. He had turned down long-term offers in the past from the club, and it was expected he would sign with another contender, likely one on the West Coast. But the California native has a special connection with the Guardians, who selected him in the fourth round of the 2016 draft. Bieber, who won the AL Cy Young in the pandemic-shortened 2020 season, threw only 12 innings last season before lingering issues with his elbow forced him to have surgery. He is expected to join Cleveland's rotation at some point in 2025. A two-time All-Star, Bieber was named MVP of the midsummer event in 2019 when it was held in Cleveland. He has the highest strikeout ratio per nine innings (10.2) and third-highest winning percentage (.660) in the franchise's 124-year history. Bieber is one of just three Cleveland pitchers to start five season openers, joining Stan Coveleski (1917-21) and Corey Kluber (2015-19). While Bieber had some elbow issues in the past, he didn't show any issues before being shut down. He struck out 11 in six scoreless innings against Oakland on March 28, and followed that up with six more shutout innings at Seattle on April 2. DALLAS — Pitchers again dominated the big league phase of the Rule 5 draft at the winter meetings, comprising 11 of the 15 unprotected players who were picked Wednesday. The 121-loss Chicago White Sox had the first pick and selected 24-year-old right-hander Shane Smith from the Milwaukee Brewers organization. Smith was an undrafted free agent out of Wake Forest when he was signed by Milwaukee in July 2021. The 6-foot-4, 235-pounder has gone 13-7 with a 2.69 ERA and 203 strikeouts over 157 innings in 19 starts and 54 relief appearances over three minor league seasons. There were 14 teams who made picks in the major league portion of the Rule 5 draft of players left off 40-man rosters after several minor league seasons. Only Atlanta made two selections, after making none since 2017. Atlanta chose right-hander Anderson Pilar from the Miami Marlins with the 11th pick, and then took infielder Christian Cairo from the Cleveland Guardians with the 15th and final pick in the MLB portion. The 26-year-old Pilar was original signed by Colorado as a minor league free agent in 2015 and has pitched in 213 minor league games that included 17 starts. He is 28-20 with a 2.86 ERA. Teams pay $100,000 to take a player in the major league portion. The players must stay on the big league roster all of next season or clear waivers and be offered back to their original organization for $50,000. Six of the 10 players selected during the Rule 5 draft last December — five of them right-handed pitchers — remained last season with organization that selected them. Two of the four position players taken Wednesday by other teams came from the Detroit Tigers organization: catcher Liam Hicks and third baseman Gage Workman. Miami drafted second after Colorado passed making a selection, and took Hicks. Workman was taken by the Chicago Cubs with the 10th pick. Baltimore lost two right-handed pitchers on back-to-back picks, Juan Nunez to San Diego with the 12th pick before Connor Thomas went to Milwaukee. DALLAS — Tom Hamilton, who has called Cleveland games on the radio for 35 seasons, won the Hall of Fame’s Ford C. Frick Award for excellence in broadcasting on Wednesday. Hamilton, 70, joined the team's broadcast in 1990, when he was with Herb Score in the booth and part of the coverage of their World Series appearances in 1995 and 1997. Hamilton became the voice of the franchise when Score retired after that second World Series. Hamilton will be honored during the Hall of Fame’s induction weekend from July 25-28 in Cooperstown, New York. He was selected the hall's Frick Award 16-member committee as the 49th winner. There were 10 finalists on this year's ballot, whose main contributions came as local and national voices and whose careers began after, or extended into, the Wild Card era. The other nine were Skip Caray, Rene Cardenas, Gary Cohen, Jacques Doucet, Ernie Johnson Sr., Mike Krukow, Duane Kuiper, Dave Sims and John Sterling. DALLAS — The Texas Rangers acquired slugging corner infielder Jake Burger from the Miami Marlins on Wednesday in a trade for three minor league players. Burger hit .250 with 29 home runs and 76 RBIs in 137 games for the Marlins last season, with 150 strikeouts in 535 at-bats with 31 walks. He started 59 games at third base and made 50 starts at first. Five days of service time short of being eligible for salary arbitration this offseason, he will be eligible next winter and can become a free agent after the 2028 World Series. Miami got infielders Max Acosta and Echedry Vargas and left-handed pitcher Brayan Mendoza. The acquisition of Burger comes about a month after the Rangers hired former Marlins manager Skip Schumaker as a senior adviser for baseball operations. Luis Urueta, Miami's bench coach the past two seasons, also was added recently to manager Bruce Bochy's on-field coaching staff for 2025. BRIEFLY WHITE SOX: Mike Tauchman is switching sides in Chicago. The White Sox announced a $1.95 million, one-year contract for the outfielder. Tauchman, 34, grew up in Palatine, Illinois, about 35 miles northwest of Chicago, and played college ball for Bradley in Peoria, Illinois. He spent the previous two seasons with the Cubs. TRADE: All-Star left-hander Garrett Crochet was acquired by the Boston Red Sox from the Chicago White Sox for four prospects. Catcher Kyle Teel, infielder Chase Meidroth, right-hander Wikelman Gonzalez and outfielder Braden Montgomery are headed to Chicago. Get local news delivered to your inbox!

TSS Inc.'s CEO Darryll Dewan sells $1.51 million in stockMELBOURNE, Australia (AP) — Australia’s House of Representatives on Wednesday passed a bill that would ban children younger than 16 years old from social media , leaving it to the Senate to finalize the world-first law. The major parties backed the bill that would make platforms including TikTok, Facebook, Snapchat, Reddit, X and Instagram liable for fines of up to 50 million Australian dollars ($33 million) for systemic failures to prevent young children from holding accounts. The legislation passed 102 to 13. If the bill becomes law this week, the platforms would have one year to work out how to implement the age restrictions before the penalties are enforced. Opposition lawmaker Dan Tehan told Parliament the government had agreed to accept amendments in the Senate that would bolster privacy protections. Platforms would not be allowed to compel users to provide government-issued identity documents including passports or driver’s licenses. The platforms also could not demand digital identification through a government system. “Will it be perfect? No. But is any law perfect? No, it’s not. But if it helps, even if it helps in just the smallest of ways, it will make a huge difference to people’s lives,” Tehan told Parliament. RELATED COVERAGE North Carolina’s governor has vetoed a GOP bill that would weaken his successor and other Democrats Venezuela’s government will investigate opposition leader Machado for supporting US House bill Australia rejects Elon Musk’s claim that it plans to control access to the internet Communications Minister Michelle Rowland said the Senate would debate the bill later Wednesday. The major parties’ support all but guarantees the legislation will pass in the Senate, where no party holds a majority of seats. Lawmakers who were not aligned with either the government or the opposition were most critical of the legislation during debate on Tuesday and Wednesday. Criticisms include that the legislation had been rushed through Parliament without adequate scrutiny, would not work, would create privacy risks for users of all ages and would take away parents’ authority to decide what’s best for their children. Critics also argue the ban would isolate children, deprive them of positive aspects of social media, drive children to the dark web, make children too young for social media reluctant to report harms they encountered and take away incentives for platforms to make online spaces safer. Independent lawmaker Zoe Daniel said the legislation would “make zero difference to the harms that are inherent to social media.” “The true object of this legislation is not to make social media safe by design, but to make parents and voters feel like the government is doing something about it,” Daniel told Parliament. “There is a reason why the government parades this legislation as world-leading, that’s because no other country wants to do it,” she added. T he platforms had asked for the vote on legislation to be delayed until at least June next year when a government-commissioned evaluation of age assurance technologies made its report on how the ban could been enforced. Melbourne resident Wayne Holdsworth, whose 17-year-old son Mac took his own life last year after falling victim to an online sextortion scam, described the bill as “absolutely essential for the safety of our children.” “It’s not the only thing that we need to do to protect them because education is the key, but to provide some immediate support for our children and parents to be able to manage this, it’s a great step,” the 65-year-old online safety campaigner told The Associated Press on Tuesday. “And in my opinion, it’s the greatest time in our country’s history,” he added, referring to the pending legal reform.Elders Limited Just Missed EPS By 28%: Here's What Analysts Think Will Happen Next

Which Jets Use The GE9X Engine And How Powerful Is It?MONTREAL — Montreal Canadiens defenceman Mike Matheson was not available for Tuesday's game against the Utah Hockey Club due to a lower-body injury. The Canadiens announced his injury half an hour before puck drop. Jayden Struble took his place in the lineup as Montreal (7-11-2) faced Utah (8-10-3) for the first time. Matheson participated in the morning skate but missed practice on Monday. The 30-year-old from nearby Pointe-Claire, Que., leads all Montreal blueliners with 13 points (one goal, 12 assists) in 20 games as the lone defenceman on the team's top power-play unit. Struble has one goal and three assists in 15 games this season. This report by The Canadian Press was first published Nov. 26, 2024. The Canadian Press

Meta to build $10 billion AI data center in Louisiana as Elon Musk expands his Tennessee AI facilityNone

SANTIAGO, Chile -- Chile’s prosecutor’s office confirmed Tuesday that President Gabriel Boric is being investigated for sexual harassment, in connection with a case in which the president says he was systematically harassed via email by a woman over a decade ago. The country’s attorney general, Cristián Crisosto, said in a statement that prosecutors have opened “a criminal case related to" allegations filed by an unidentified woman in September. The complaint alleges sexual harassment as well as the leaking of private images. Crisosto did not provide details of the alleged events, or say when or where they took place. Boric, 38, has denied the accusations through his attorney, Jonatan Valenzuela, who in a statement described the president as “the victim of systematic harassment via email.” The alleged harassment occurred between July 2013 and July 2014, when Boric was an intern in the southern Chilean city of Punta Arenas, near Patagonia, and was already a well-known figure in national politics thanks to his role in student-led protests a couple of years earlier. Valenzuela said Boric “never had an emotional or friendly relationship” with the woman and both have not been in communication since July 2014 when she is alleged to have sent the last of dozens of emails, some with explicit images, to the now president. Valenzuela said his team handed authorities all communications between Boric and the woman after learning of her complaint, to “clarify the status of the president as a victim.” ____ Follow AP’s coverage of Latin America and the Caribbean at https://apnews.com/hub/latin-americaAustralia’s House of Representatives passes bill that would ban young children from social mediaFair Grounds Field demolition. Nov. 25, 2024. Facebook Twitter WhatsApp SMS Email Print Copy article link Save One thing I learned in my last job was that you feel your age when you start covering the children of athletes you covered years earlier, or when those athletes you covered years before become coaches on your beat. I learned a new lesson Monday, just weeks into this job with The Shreveport-Bossier City Advocate, where sports isn't really my beat — I'm bringing you news of public safety and the courts — but I found myself standing in the parking lot of Fair Grounds Field as the monster slowly beat away at the stadium. It's being demolished at a cost of $334,000 by Lloyd D. Nabors Demolition , and one machine was on site Monday afternoon, pounding away at cement on one end of the stands. The lesson? Even the things you don't appreciate enough hurt a bit when they disappear. Fair Grounds Field was state of the art in the 1980s, when I first worked there, running the message center part of the scoreboard. I typed in each hitter's stats and designed graphics to run with each commercial as it played over the intercom or was read by John James Marshall over the public address system. No baseball expert, I worked the job for income, but for some unknown reason I've held on to my first Shreveport Captains polo shirt. It will outlive the stadium itself, though it's been in approximately the same condition for some time. Regardless of your interest in the game itself, there is something so very American about going to a baseball game. And there was something so very Shreveport about Fair Grounds Field. Now subject to the wrecking ball, the stadium opened in 1986, giving the Shreveport Captains Double A baseball team a place to play that didn't embarrass that operation or the city. SPAR Stadium, the team's previous home and just northwest of what is now the Interstate 20/Interstate 49 intersection, seemed to my young eyes to have been a place where cheap beer was its biggest attraction, not for me but for the few who attended games in its final years. Fair Grounds Field brought the city so much more. It was a 4,200-seat place for families to enjoy an evening's entertainment. Tickets could be cheap, even free; the Captains made their money from concessions. Those of us working in the press box got free meals every night, but sometimes you had that urge to bypass what was free to make the walk to the grill adjacent to left field. Those were good hamburgers. Fair Grounds Field demolition, Nov. 25, 2024. The first paycheck I could physically hold in my hands came from that Captains franchise. I saw my first baseball brawl there, and it was shown on national highlight shows. Dee Dixon, himself a fixture on the roster at the time, took his best tool — speed — and turned it into an inside the park grand slam one pitch before a dugout-clearing brawl recalled by Shreveport-Bossier City Advocate sports editor Roy Lang earlier this year. Two pitchers combined for a no-hitter, and it was only the first game of a doubleheader. I remember seeing the San Diego Chicken, as he was known before he lost the city part of his name, and, yes, I got to see him out of costume. I remember at least one Texas League All-Star game and, more significantly to me, a mid-season exhibition against the parent club, the San Francisco Giants. Will Clark was on that team, and I think the Captains won by a run, though the Giants' stars made only short appearances early in the game. For some reason, I remember Marshall's frustration with himself when he learned that Kirt Manwaring, elevated to the Giants, had been dubbed Kirt "What is that" Manwaring by ESPN's Chris Berman. Marshall, who liked to come up with his own monikers for Captains, hadn't thought of it. Royce Clayton, Rod Beck and Juan Gonzalez are among many other players I saw play before their Major League careers. Another memory of mine, being a college student living in Louisiana Tech's Neilson dorm at the time — the dorm where I twice had to climb out of an elevator is already demolished — is that I counted down the outs as the game neared the ninth inning. I had an hour's drive ahead of me and classes the next day, couldn't wait to leave. I thought of that Monday, too, as I watched the monster tear apart cement along the first-base line. As much as I couldn't wait to leave all those nights, now it stings to see it go.2 Canadian Growth Stocks Set to Skyrocket in the Next 12 Months

NoneFair Grounds Field demolition. Nov. 25, 2024. Facebook Twitter WhatsApp SMS Email Print Copy article link Save One thing I learned in my last job was that you feel your age when you start covering the children of athletes you covered years earlier, or when those athletes you covered years before become coaches on your beat. I learned a new lesson Monday, just weeks into this job with The Shreveport-Bossier City Advocate, where sports isn't really my beat — I'm bringing you news of public safety and the courts — but I found myself standing in the parking lot of Fair Grounds Field as the monster slowly beat away at the stadium. It's being demolished at a cost of $334,000 by Lloyd D. Nabors Demolition , and one machine was on site Monday afternoon, pounding away at cement on one end of the stands. The lesson? Even the things you don't appreciate enough hurt a bit when they disappear. Fair Grounds Field was state of the art in the 1980s, when I first worked there, running the message center part of the scoreboard. I typed in each hitter's stats and designed graphics to run with each commercial as it played over the intercom or was read by John James Marshall over the public address system. No baseball expert, I worked the job for income, but for some unknown reason I've held on to my first Shreveport Captains polo shirt. It will outlive the stadium itself, though it's been in approximately the same condition for some time. Regardless of your interest in the game itself, there is something so very American about going to a baseball game. And there was something so very Shreveport about Fair Grounds Field. Now subject to the wrecking ball, the stadium opened in 1986, giving the Shreveport Captains Double A baseball team a place to play that didn't embarrass that operation or the city. SPAR Stadium, the team's previous home and just northwest of what is now the Interstate 20/Interstate 49 intersection, seemed to my young eyes to have been a place where cheap beer was its biggest attraction, not for me but for the few who attended games in its final years. Fair Grounds Field brought the city so much more. It was a 4,200-seat place for families to enjoy an evening's entertainment. Tickets could be cheap, even free; the Captains made their money from concessions. Those of us working in the press box got free meals every night, but sometimes you had that urge to bypass what was free to make the walk to the grill adjacent to left field. Those were good hamburgers. Fair Grounds Field demolition, Nov. 25, 2024. The first paycheck I could physically hold in my hands came from that Captains franchise. I saw my first baseball brawl there, and it was shown on national highlight shows. Dee Dixon, himself a fixture on the roster at the time, took his best tool — speed — and turned it into an inside the park grand slam one pitch before a dugout-clearing brawl recalled by Shreveport-Bossier City Advocate sports editor Roy Lang earlier this year. Two pitchers combined for a no-hitter, and it was only the first game of a doubleheader. I remember seeing the San Diego Chicken, as he was known before he lost the city part of his name, and, yes, I got to see him out of costume. I remember at least one Texas League All-Star game and, more significantly to me, a mid-season exhibition against the parent club, the San Francisco Giants. Will Clark was on that team, and I think the Captains won by a run, though the Giants' stars made only short appearances early in the game. For some reason, I remember Marshall's frustration with himself when he learned that Kirt Manwaring, elevated to the Giants, had been dubbed Kirt "What is that" Manwaring by ESPN's Chris Berman. Marshall, who liked to come up with his own monikers for Captains, hadn't thought of it. Royce Clayton, Rod Beck and Juan Gonzalez are among many other players I saw play before their Major League careers. Another memory of mine, being a college student living in Louisiana Tech's Neilson dorm at the time — the dorm where I twice had to climb out of an elevator is already demolished — is that I counted down the outs as the game neared the ninth inning. I had an hour's drive ahead of me and classes the next day, couldn't wait to leave. I thought of that Monday, too, as I watched the monster tear apart cement along the first-base line. As much as I couldn't wait to leave all those nights, now it stings to see it go.

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