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lambada/E+ via Getty Images Introduction Amid fears of potential disintermediation by autonomous vehicles [robotaxis], Uber Technologies, Inc. ( NYSE: UBER ) stock has tumbled by more than 30% off its October 2024 highs in a matter of weeks: While headlines such as Want More Asymmetric Investment Ideas? To help supercharge our members' journey to financial freedom, we publish TQI's Asymmetric Ideas Series at " The Quantamental Investor ", with each stock pick targeting 50-100% return in 1-3 years. Since its launch in April 2023, TQI’s Asymmetric Ideas Series has grown to 20 Picks, with the average return for these ideas standing at +63% as of writing on 14th December 2024. If you’d like for TQI’s Asymmetric Ideas Series to be delivered right to your inbox every month, join TQI Basic or Full Access now. "We're in an asset bubble, and TQI can help you navigate it profitably" I am Ahan Vashi, a seasoned investor with professional background in equity research, private equity, and software engineering. I currently serve as the Chief Financial Engineer at The Quantamental Investor , a community pursuing financial freedom through bold, active investing with proactive risk management. TQI was established in July 2022 with a singular mission to make investing simple, fun, and profitable for all investors. In alignment with this mission, we publish premium equity research reports on Seeking Alpha - research library - performance tracker . However, there's a lot more on offer within our investing group - features include highly-concentrated, risk-optimized model portfolios that meet investor needs across different stages of the investor lifecycle, access to proprietary software tools, and group chats. Learn more In addition to our work on SeekingAlpha, we publish best-in-class investing tidbits and research insights at TQI Tidbits [free newsletter], Twitter , and LinkedIn . Follow for more investing content. Analyst’s Disclosure: I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of UBER either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. I wrote this article myself, and it expresses my own opinions. I am not receiving compensation for it. I have no business relationship with any company whose stock is mentioned in this article. Seeking Alpha's Disclosure: Past performance is no guarantee of future results. No recommendation or advice is being given as to whether any investment is suitable for a particular investor. Any views or opinions expressed above may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole. Seeking Alpha is not a licensed securities dealer, broker or US investment adviser or investment bank. Our analysts are third party authors that include both professional investors and individual investors who may not be licensed or certified by any institute or regulatory body.Los Angeles Chargers (7-4) at Atlanta (6-5) Sunday, 1 p.m. EST, CBS Javascript is required for you to be able to read premium content. Please enable it in your browser settings.President-elect Donald Trump campaigned on the promise that his policies would reduce high borrowing costs and lighten the financial burden on American households. But what if, as many economists expect, interest rates remain elevated, well above their pre-pandemic lows? Trump could point a finger at the Federal Reserve, and in particular at its chair, Jerome Powell, whom Trump himself nominated to lead the Fed. During his first term, Trump repeatedly and publicly ridiculed the Powell Fed, complaining it kept interest rates too high. Trump’s attacks on the Fed raised widespread concern about political interference in the Fed’s policymaking. Powell, for his part, emphasized the importance of the Fed’s independence: “That gives us the ability to make decisions for the benefit of all Americans at all times, not for any particular political party or political outcome.” Political clashes might be inevitable in the next four years. Trump’s proposals to cut taxes and impose steep and widespread tariffs are a recipe for high inflation in an economy operating at close to full capacity. And if inflation were to reaccelerate, the Fed would need to keep interest rates high. Because Powell won’t necessarily cut rates as much as Trump will want. And even if Powell reduces the Fed’s benchmark rate, Trump’s own policies could keep other borrowing costs — such as mortgage rates — elevated. The sharply higher tariffs that Trump vowed to impose could worsen inflation. And if tax cuts on things like tips and overtime pay — another Trump promise — quickened economic growth, that, too, could fan inflationary pressures. The Fed would likely respond by slowing or stopping its rate cuts, thereby thwarting Trump’s promises of lower borrowing rates. The central bank might even raise rates if inflation worsens. “The risk of conflict between the Trump administration and the Fed is very high,” Olivier Blanchard, former top economist at the International Monetary Fund, said recently. If the Fed increases rates, “it will stand in the way of what the Trump administration wants.” Yes, but with the economy sturdier than expected, the Fed’s policymakers may cut rates only a few more times — fewer than anticipated just a month or two ago. And those rate cuts might not reduce borrowing costs for consumers and businesses very much. The Fed’s key short-term rate can influence rates for credit cards, small businesses and some other loans. But it has no direct control over longer-term interest rates. These include the yield on the 10-year Treasury note, which affects mortgage rates. The 10-year Treasury yield is shaped by investors’ expectations of future inflation, economic growth and interest rates as well as by supply and demand for Treasuries. An example occurred this year. The 10-year yield fell in late summer in anticipation of a Fed rate cut. Yet once the first rate cut occurred Sept. 18, longer-term rates didn’t fall. Instead, they began to rise again, partly in anticipation of faster economic growth. Trump also proposed a variety of tax cuts that could swell the deficit. Rates on Treasury securities might then have to be increased to attract enough investors to buy the new debt. “I honestly don’t think the Fed has a lot of control over the 10-year rate, which is probably the most important for mortgages,” said Kent Smetters, an economist and faculty director at the Penn Wharton Budget Model. “Deficits are going to play a much bigger role in that regard.” Occasional or rare criticism of the Fed chair isn’t necessarily a problem for the economy, so long as the central bank continues to set policy as it sees fit. But persistent attacks would tend to undermine the Fed’s political independence, which is critically important to keeping inflation in check. To fight inflation, a central bank often must take steps that can be highly unpopular, notably by raising interest rates to slow borrowing and spending. Political leaders typically want central banks to do the opposite: keep rates low to support the economy and the job market, especially before an election. Research has found that countries with independent central banks generally enjoy lower inflation. Even if Trump doesn’t technically force the Fed to do anything, his persistent criticism could still cause problems. If markets, economists and business leaders no longer think the Fed is operating independently and instead is being pushed around by the president, they’ll lose confidence in the Fed’s ability to control inflation. Once consumers and businesses anticipate higher inflation, they usually act in ways that fuel higher prices — accelerating their purchases, for example, before prices increase further, or raising their own prices if they expect their expenses to increase. “The markets need to feel confident that the Fed is responding to the data, not to political pressure,” said Scott Alvarez, a former general counsel at the Fed. He can try, but it would likely lead to a prolonged legal battle that could even end up at the Supreme Court. At a November news conference, Powell made clear that he believes the president doesn’t have legal authority to do so. Most experts think Powell would prevail in the courts. And from the Trump administration’s perspective, such a fight might not be worth it. Powell’s term ends in May 2026, when the White House could nominate a new chair. It is also likely the stock market would tumble if Trump attempted such a brazen move. Bond yields would probably increase, too, sending mortgage rates and other borrowing costs up. Financial markets might also react negatively if Trump is seen as appointing a loyalist as Fed chair to replace Powell in 2026. Yes, and in the most egregious cases, it led to stubbornly high inflation. Notably, President Richard Nixon pressured Fed Chair Arthur Burns to reduce interest rates in 1971, which the Fed did, as Nixon sought reelection the next year. Economists blame Burns’ failure to keep rates sufficiently high for contributing to the entrenched inflation of the 1970s and early 1980s. Thomas Drechsel, an economist at the University of Maryland, said that when presidents intrude on the Fed’s interest rate decisions, “it increases prices quite consistently and it increases expectations, and ... that worries me because that means inflation might become quite entrenched.” Since the mid-1980s, with the exception of Trump in his first term, presidents have scrupulously refrained from public criticism of the Fed. “It’s amazing, how little manipulation for partisan ends we have seen of that policymaking apparatus,” said Peter Conti- Brown, a professor of financial regulation at the University of Pennsylvania’s Wharton School. “It really is a triumph of American governance.”
SOUTH BEND, Ind. — Eight thoughts on Notre Dame ’s 25-man recruiting Class of 2025, which got a major boost as the early signing period began on Wednesday. 1. And just like that, the perception of Notre Dame’s recruiting class changed. Notre Dame signed four-star linebacker Madden Faraimo on Wednesday, beating out perceived favorite USC and former finalist Texas. Marcus Freeman broke his own news, casually mentioning the addition to open his news conference. Advertisement This was the kind of recruitment Notre Dame needed to win, for a linebacking corps that’s developed into one of the nation’s best and to fortify the notion that recruiting has taken steps forward. Faraimo is a top-100 prospect from Oceanside, Calif., roughly halfway between Los Angeles and San Diego. There was no organic connection to Notre Dame, only the one the program could create. Signing Kyngstonn Viliamu-Asa last year helped. Mixing with alumni — football and regular — helped. A staff that includes Freeman, Al Golden and Max Bullough helped. But Faraimo had to say yes, which he wasn’t ready to do Tuesday night or Wednesday morning. Freeman told Faraimo to “choose hard,” which can be a losing pitch with the wrong prospect. When Faraimo made his decision, he told Freeman that he “chose God,” which underscores the fit and the necessity of landing him. The best in California choose Notre Dame @MaddenFaraimo has officially signed #2TheeIri5h #GoIrish ☘️ | @Gatorade pic.twitter.com/D8RN2L7qIV — Notre Dame Football (@NDFootball) December 4, 2024 To put it another way, USC and Texas didn’t need to sign Faraimo. They had other options near the top of the recruiting food chain. Notre Dame did not have other options, unless you’re counting Nathaniel Owusu-Boateng, who faded from consideration late and committed to Michigan. The necessity of signing Faraimo doesn’t make it any easier to close the deal, though. It just makes getting his signature that much more rewarding for Notre Dame. “Yes, there’s some truth to the recruiting rankings, but I think more important is that we still have to trust our evaluation and our eyes in terms of bringing in the right guys to this program,” Freeman said. “Obviously you’ve heard me say this before. We can’t recruit everybody. We’ve got to recruit the guys that fit this place, but we want to get the best players in the country that do.” Advertisement 2. In the 247Sports Composite , Faraimo ranks as the No. 2 player in Notre Dame’s class, behind offensive tackle Will Black. That makes him the top-ranked defensive prospect in a haul that was outstanding in the back seven. The Irish couldn’t have done better at defensive back than the six signed, which included Dallas Golden and Mark Zackery IV. Linebacker production on the field turned into linebacker production in recruiting, and that happened at defensive back, too. There aren’t better recruiting billboards than the seasons of Xavier Watts , Christian Gray and Leonard Moore , with the freshman cornerback’s the most compelling pitch. Not every freshman will play right away. That’s fine. But showing prospects that the staff isn’t afraid to go young at least gives the recruiting office an angle to play. 3. Offensive line recruiting has been strong enough at Notre Dame during the past decade that it hardly moves the needle when the Irish land three four-star prospects and a single three-star prospect who’s 6-foot-6, 287 pounds. And Matt Augustine is the smallest of the three offensive tackle prospects signed by Notre Dame, joining Black (6-7, 292) and Owen Strebig (6-7, 292). The Irish also landed center Cam Herron from Indianapolis. The best part about the class for Notre Dame is the Irish probably don’t need it to contribute for years. That’s how healthy offensive line rooms are built: two years in the weight room and the practice field before breaking into the lineup. Notre Dame couldn’t afford to play that waiting game with Anthonie Knapp and the offense suffered for it. With back-to-back-to-back strong classes up front, the Irish shouldn’t have to go down that road again. 4. Freeman repeated what he said a year ago when asked about the plans to take a transfer quarterback this winter. After going in for Riley Leonard , Notre Dame didn’t want to spend in that market again. Freeman confirmed the Irish won’t. It’s a smart business move considering the costs associated with defensive tackles and the needs at wide receiver. It’s also good news for Notre Dame because it means CJ Carr remains on track to compete for the job this spring. Advertisement 5. Freeman keeps talking about wanting to “major in high school recruiting” and only doing a “minor” in the transfer portal. I get it. Notre Dame doesn’t work if it builds its roster like Colorado . Different approaches for different programs and different universities. But why can’t the Irish double major? Notre Dame has a higher hit rate in transfer recruiting than high school recruiting the past two cycles, which makes sense with how much available film is out there. Yes, it’s more complicated and more expensive to go heavy in the portal. It’s probably not sustainable. But the Irish didn’t leave themselves much choice at wide receiver or defensive line with this recruiting class. And the maturity of a graduate transfer maybe plays better at Notre Dame than a high school prospect, anyhow. 6. When Freeman was asked about wide receiver recruiting Wednesday, he seemed taken aback by the insinuation Notre Dame didn’t nail the position and didn’t have a good product to sell. It’s worth remembering the Irish have had one 100-yard performance by a wide receiver in the past three seasons combined. The leading receiver on this year’s team is Beaux Collins (34 catches, 427 yards, two touchdowns). Irish wideouts have nine receiving touchdowns total this year. Kris Mitchell had six by himself at FIU last season. “We’re looking for speed but also really good football players. That’s what we feel like we got with this class in wideouts,” Freeman said. “We’re extremely happy about it, and we’ll continue to recruit wideouts at a high level.” Maybe Elijah Burress, Scrap Richardson and Jerome Bettis Jr. — all outside the top 250 nationally, with Bettis the lowest-rated position player in the class at No. 853 overall and No. 125 at receiver — will exceed expectations. But while Notre Dame has earned the benefit of the doubt at defensive back in terms of development, the opposite is true at receiver. How Notre Dame treats the portal at wideout will say plenty about how the staff views the haul. Advertisement 7. The biggest sleeper in this class might be running back Nolan James Jr. The running back from DePaul Catholic in New Jersey was a longtime commitment to Boston College before the Irish decided to upgrade their running back class as Justin Thurman (Kansas) and Daniel Anderson ( Northwestern ) moved on. James is stronger than both and the kind of all-purpose back who plays bigger than 5-9, 200 pounds. He’s not Jeremiyah Love or Jadarian Price , but he’ll fit better into the Notre Dame running back room than either previous commit. 8. Notre Dame’s class ranks 12th in the 247Sports Composite as of Wednesday evening, with three top-100 signees and 14 four-stars. Overall, Notre Dame’s class has enough talent to settle the debate (assuming there still is one) that the program is recruiting better under Freeman than it did under Brian Kelly. This is another by-product of landing Faraimo at the end. Now that we have Notre Dame's final recruiting class numbers after Madden Faraimo's signing, here are ND's last 16 classes It's certainly a step back from the 2022-24 classes but the average player rating is still higher than all but two Kelly classes pic.twitter.com/WC6ZYMaFoY — Notre Dame Football Stats & Analytics (@ND_FB_Analytics) December 4, 2024 Are the Irish closing the gap on Georgia, Ohio State and Alabama? It’s hard to make that case with conviction. But Notre Dame is still improving in the recruiting department from where it was much of the past decade. (Photo: Rich Graessle / Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)‘Frasier’ Star to Release Memoir About His Sister’s MurderAutodesk, Inc. (ADSK) Barclays 22nd Annual Global Technology Conference (Transcript)
Adele has said she will miss her residency shows “terribly” but needs to “move on” after playing her 100th and final show in Las Vegas on Saturday night. The British singer-songwriter, 36, launched Weekends With Adele, located at The Colosseum theatre in Caesars Palace in November 2022. In July, she announced she would be taking a “big break” from music after her run of of sell-out shows at the venue, which seats around 4,000 people. In a social media post on Monday, she said: “Well what an adventure! Las Vegas you’ve been so good to me. A post shared by Adele (@adele) “This residency went on to mirror what 30 was about, lost and broken to healed and thriving! “Seems so fitting in the end. The only thing left to do in this case is move on.” The Easy On Me star made a return to the spotlight in 2021 when she released her fourth album, 30. Adele said: “These 100 shows have been so easy to love. “They were all completely different because I got to really be with every single person in the room every night. “I’ve loved every single second of it and I am so proud of it! I will miss it terribly, and I will miss you all terribly too. Thank you! Thank you! Thank you! See you next time.” Videos posted online from her concert on Saturday show the singer getting tearful as she bid farewell to Vegas. “It’s been wonderful and I will miss it terribly and I will miss you terribly,” she said. “I don’t know when I next want to perform again.” The singer, full name Adele Adkins, shared an emotional embrace with Celine Dion after she spotted the music artist in the audience during her Las Vegas show last month. In August, Adele played shows in a purpose-built outdoor arena in Munich, with capacity for 80,000 people per night, and told fans on the last night that they would not be seeing her for a “long time”.Surging global tourism emissions are driven by just 20 countries
After Trump’s win, Black women are rethinking their role as America’s reliable political organizersGoogle’s UK boss said the company was ‘engaged actively’ with the Government regarding infrastructure and investments (Tim Goode/PA) Google is interested in building more AI infrastructure in the UK but needs the “right conditions”, the company’s UK boss has said. Debbie Weinstein, the technology company’s UK and Ireland managing director, said Google was “engaged actively” with the Government regarding future infrastructure and investments during a visit to the new AI Campus in north London.J.Jill, Inc. Announces Third Quarter 2024 Results
NoneMARIEVILLE, Que. - Quebec provincial police have cancelled an Amber Alert after a missing nine-year-old boy was found safe. Read this article for free: Already have an account? To continue reading, please subscribe: * MARIEVILLE, Que. - Quebec provincial police have cancelled an Amber Alert after a missing nine-year-old boy was found safe. Read unlimited articles for free today: Already have an account? MARIEVILLE, Que. – Quebec provincial police have cancelled an Amber Alert after a missing nine-year-old boy was found safe. The news came less than an hour after the alert was issued saying police were looking for a 39-year-old woman in connection with the boy’s disappearance this afternoon. Police could not immediately provide details about any arrest in the case. They say the boy had last been seen at about 1:50 p.m. in Marieville, Que., about 30 kilometres southeast of Montreal. Winnipeg Jets Game Days On Winnipeg Jets game days, hockey writers Mike McIntyre and Ken Wiebe send news, notes and quotes from the morning skate, as well as injury updates and lineup decisions. Arrives a few hours prior to puck drop. The Amber Alert was issued at around 5 p.m. This report by The Canadian Press was first published Dec. 11, 2024. Advertisement
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